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中国碳市场与资本市场的风险溢出效应探究

Research on the Risk Spillover Eff ect of China’s Carbon Market and Capital Market

摘要: 随着“双碳”目标的提出,碳排放权逐渐受到投资者和监管者的广泛关注。本文从双向风险角度出发,对近年碳市场与资本市场的动态相依关系和风险溢出效应进行研究。研究发现:碳市场与资本市场存在一定的时变正相依关系,但在长期内无显著波动趋势;碳市场的波动及风险高于资本市场;碳市与股市存在双向的强极端风险溢出,与债市存在双向的弱极端风险溢出。

Abstract: With the proposal of the “carbon peaking & carbon neutrality” goal, carbon emission rights have gradually attracted the attention of investors and regulators. From the perspective of two-way risk, this paper studies the dynamic dependence relationship and risk spillover eff ect between China’s carbon market and capital market in recent years. The study reveals that there is a certain time-varying positive dependence between the carbon market and the capital market, but there is no signifi cant fl uctuation trend in the long term; the volatility and risk of the carbon market are higher than that of the capital market; there are two-way strong extreme risk spillovers in the carbon market and stock market and two-way weak extreme risk spillovers in the carbon market and bond market.

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[V1] 2024-09-24 09:41:41 PSSXiv:202409.01786V1 下载全文
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