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中国对东盟数字服务贸易出口效率及潜力研究

A Study on the Effi ciency and Potential of China’s Export of Digital Services to ASEAN

摘要: 本文利用2012—2021年中国出口东盟的数字服务贸易数据,构建了随机前沿引力模型,估计贸易效率及潜力,实证研究影响中国数字服务贸易的出口因素,旨在弥补关于中国与东盟数字服务贸易效率和潜力相关文献的不足,并对传统模型进行适当调整,可为后续数字服务贸易的研究提供可借鉴的建模思路。结果显示:双方的经济规模、宽带网络和ICT数字基础设施等因素对中国数字服务贸易出口产生正向影响;双边人口规模、共同语言、政府效率和监管质量等因素会产生负向影响。

Abstract: This article uses the digital service trade data of China’s exports to ASEAN from 2012 to 2021 to construct a stochastic frontier gravity model, estimate trade effi ciency and potential, and empirically study the export factors that aff ect China’s digital service trade. Aiming to make up for the lack of literature on the effi ciency and potential of digital service trade between China and ASEAN, and making appropriate adjustments to traditional models, this can provide a reference modeling approach for subsequent research on digital service trade. Research has shown that factors such as the economic scale of both parties, broadband networks, and ICT digital infrastructure have a positive impact on China’s digital service trade exports; Factors such as bilateral population size, common language, government efficiency, and regulatory quality will have a negative impact.

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[V1] 2024-11-08 16:41:53 PSSXiv:202411.00732V1 下载全文
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