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可持续发展目标下全球包容性绿色增长指数测度及其耦合协调评价

Measurement of the Global Inclusive Green Growth Index and Its Coupling Coordination Evaluation under the Sustainable Development Goals

摘要: 文章基于2000一2020年全球82个国家面板数据,通过构建包容性绿色增长水平的指标体系,用定基极差熵权法测度了其包容性绿色增长指数(IGGI),并对测度结果进行了时空演化和区域异质性分析以及耦合协调度评价。结果表明:①研究期内82个国家的包容性绿色增长水平都有提升。各国IGGI的平均值从2000年的0.226上升至2020年的0.302,且存在明显的区域差异,呈现出“西高东低"的空间布局。②从空间分布看,各国的IGGI存在空间关联关系,表现出明显的“高一高”聚集和“低一低"扎堆现象。其中,位于“高一高”集聚区的主要是发达国家,位于“低一低”集聚区的主要是发展水平相对落后的国家。③从区域异质性看,高收入和高人类发展水平国家的包容性绿色增长水平明显高于低收入和低人类发展水平国家。其中,2020年高收入国家IGGI的均值为0.379,高人类发展水平国家IGGI的均值为0.328,低收人国家IGGI的均值为0.229,低人类发展水平国家IGGI的均值为0.251。④从分维度指数看,经济增长指数(EGI)和社会公平指数(SEI)的变化趋势总体呈上升趋势,且SEI明显高于IGGI的变化趋势,发展态势良好;环境可持续性指数(ESI)的变化趋势则比较平稳,且明显低于IGGI、EGI和SEI的变化趋势,发展状况不佳,仍存在较大的进步空间。5从耦合协调度评价结果看,整体上经济增长、社会公平和环境可持续性三大维度的耦合协调状况仍处于低水平,且存在发展不平衡的现象。

Abstract: Based on the panel data of 82 countries from 2000 to 2020, this paper constructs an indicator system of inclusive green growth level, measures their inclusive green growth index (IGGI) using the fixed-base range entropy weighting method. It analyzes the temporal and spatial evolution and regional heterogeneity of IGGI, and evaluates its coupling coordination degrees. The results indicate that: 1) Inclusive green growth level increased in all 82 countries in 2000-2020. The average value of IGGI in each country rose from 0.226 in 2000 to 0.302 in 2020 with clear regional variations, which indicated a spatial distribution of "high in the west and low in the east". 2) From the perspective of spatial distribution, there is spatial correlation among IGGI of different countries, showing obvious high-high clustering and low-low clustering. The "high-high" cluster areas are mainly located in developed countries, and the "low-low" cluster areas are mainly located in countries with relatively backward development level. 3) In regard to regional variability, the level of inclusive green growth in high-income and high-level human development countries is significantly higher than that in low-income and low-level human development countries. In 2020, the average value of IGGI of high-income countries was 0.379, while the average value of IGGI of high-level human development countries was 0.328. The average value of IGGI of low-income countries was 0.229, the average value of IGGI of low-level human development countries was 0.251. 4) From the perspective of the sub-dimensional indices, the economic growth index (EGI) and the social equity index (SEI) of sub-dimension trends are generally on the rise, and the SEI is significantly higher than that of the IGGI, indicating a positive development trend. However, the trend of the environmental sustainability index (ESI) remains relatively stable and significantly lower than that of the IGGI, EGI and SEI, indicating poor development conditions and the need for improvement. 5) The results of the measurement indicate that the coupling degree and coupling coordination degree of the "economic-social-environmental" system remain at a low level. There is still an imbalance development phenomenon.

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[V1] 2025-03-21 09:11:19 PSSXiv:202503.01834V1 下载全文
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