北京绿色低碳循环发展与双循环新发展格局互动关系的实证研究

• 作者： 李艳梅 ¹ 付丽媛 ¹ 迟远英 ¹
• 作者单位：
  1.  北京工业大学经济与管理学院
• 通讯作者： 迟远英 
• 发布时间：2024-12-25

摘要: 建立健全绿色低碳循环发展经济体系和构建双循环新发展格局是实现高质量发展的必由之路。文章首先构建指标体系测度北京绿色低碳循环发展水平，并在更新和补充投入产出表的基础上测度了北京参与双循环水平；然后对绿色低碳循环发展和双循环新发展格局的互动机理进行剖析；最后利用2002—2022年北京38个行业面板数据构建联立方程模型进行实证分析。研究发现：①北京绿色低碳循环发展水平逐年上升，年均增长率逐步趋于稳定。②北京以参与国内循环为主，尤其2007年之后所占比重不断提升，参与国际循环比例变动趋势相反。③北京融入双循环新发展格局有助于促进绿色低碳循环发展，其中技术进步起到积极作用；但绿色低碳循环发展未能促进北京进一步融入双循环新发展格局，其中环境规制起到阻碍作用。④从行业异质性来看，高技术服务投入占比较高的行业通过深化国内循环会对绿色低碳循环水平产生较强的积极影响。⑤从时间异质性来看，党的十八大之后北京参与国际循环对绿色低碳循环发展的促进作用明显提升。

Abstract: The only way to achieve high-quality development is to establish a sound economic system for green, low-carbon and circular development and to build a new development pattern of dual circulation. Firstly, this paper constructs an index system to measure the development level of Beijing's green low-carbon circular development, and measures the level of Beijing's participation in the domestic and international economic circulation based on updating and supplementing the input-output tables. Secondly, this paper analyzes the interaction mechanism between the green low-carbon circular development and the dual circulation. Finally, it builds a simultaneous equation model based on the panel data of 38 industries in Beijing from 2002 to 2022. The research findings are as follows: 1) The green low-carbon circular development index of Beijing has increased year by year, and the annual growth rate is gradually stabilizing. 2) Beijing mainly participates in domestic circulation,and its proportion has been continuously increasing since 2007, with the opposite trend in the proportion of participation in international circulation. 3) Beijing's integration into the dual circulation is conducive to green low-carbon circular development,and technological progress plays a positive role. However, the green low-carbon circular development failed to promote Beijing's further integration into the dual circulation, in which environmental regulation played a blocking role. 4) From the perspective of industry heterogeneity, compared with industries of high-tech services low input,industries of high input will have a greater positive impact on green low-carbon circular development level by deepening the domestic economic circulation. 5) From the perspective of temporal heterogeneity, Beijing's participation in the international circulations played a positive role in the green low-carbon circular development after the 18th CPC National Congres.

• 分类： 地理学 >> 人文地理学
• 稿件状态： 已在期刊出版
期刊名称： 《经济地理》 2024年 第11期 “区域经济与理论方法”专栏
• 引用： PSSXiv:202412.01180 (或此版本 PSSXiv:202412.01180V1)
  DOI:10.15957/j.cnki.jjdl.2024.11.003
  CSTR:32012.36.PSSXiv.202412.01180
• 推荐引用方式： 李艳梅,付丽媛,迟远英.北京绿色低碳循环发展与双循环新发展格局互动关系的实证研究.经济地理,2024(11).[DOI:10.15957/j.cnki.jjdl.2024.11.003] (点此复制)