流动人口就地就近流动的空间特征及影响因素基于福建省第七次人口普查数据的新探索

• 作者： 张丹丹 ¹ 林李月 ^1，2 朱宇 ^2，3 柯文前 ^1，2
• 作者单位：
  1.  福建师范大学

  2.  福建师范大学地理研究所

  3.  上海大学人口研究所暨亚洲人口研究中心
• 通讯作者： 林李月 
• 发布时间：2025-02-03

摘要: 人口就地就近流动的再次兴起是当前我国人口流动进程中的新现象，对推进城镇化格局演变与政策优化的意义重大。基于福建省第七次人口普查数据，在阐明“就地流动"和“就近流动"的基础上，系统分析了县域尺度上流动人口就地流动和就近流动的空间特征及其影响因素。研究表明：①福建省各县域的省内流动人口以就地流动为主，就近流动为辅；就地流动人口的空间分布具有一定的均衡性，而就近流动人口的空间选择性较强，具有明显的山海差异和以市辖区为核心的圈层结构特征。②不同城市的就近流动网络存在规模等级差异：两大核心城市（福州和泉州）的就近流动网络处于“又聚又散"的发展阶段，具有明显的“双核心"流动网络结构，其他中小城市的就近流动网络仍然停留在向市辖区集聚的阶段。③较低的经济发展水平和老年抚养比，较高的二产比重和少年抚养比，以及地处都市圈外促进了人口就地流动；较高的二、三产比重、工资和教育、医疗水平，较低的少年和老年抚养比，以及位于都市圈内促进了人口就近流动；两地间的经济收入、公共服务发展水平差距越大，其人口就近流动的规模越大，而两地间的三产占比差距越小，其人口就近流动规模越大。

Abstract: The re-emergence of in-situ and nearby population mobility is a new phenomenon in the current process of population mobility in China, which is of great significance to promote the evolution of urbanization pattern and policy optimization. Based on data from the 7th census in Fujian Province in 2020, this paper first clarifies the definitions of “in-situ mobility” and “nearby mobility” and then systematically analyzes the pattern characteristics and determinants of in-situ and nearby mobility on the county scale. The results show that: (1) The intra-provincial floating population in each county of Fujian province mainly flows in-place, and the nearby flows are supplemented; The spatial distribution of in-situ floating population has a certain equilibrium, while the nearby floating population has a strong spatial selectivity, with obvious mountain and sea differences and a ring structure with the city district as the core. (2) There are scale and grade differences in the nearby mobile networks of different cities: the nearby mobile networks of the two major core cities (Fuzhou and Quanzhou) are in the development stage of “convergence and dispersion”, with obvious “dual-core” mobile network structure, while the nearby mobile networks of other small and medium-sized cities still stay in the stage of agglomeration to the municipal district. (3) The lower level of economic development and the lower old-age dependency ratio, the higher proportion of secondary industry and juvenile dependency ratio, and the location outside the metropolitan area promote the local population flow; The higher wage level, the proportion of secondary and tertiary industries, the level of education and medical care, the lower ratio of juvenile and elderly dependency and the location in the metropolitan area promote the increase of the scale of the nearby migrant population. The greater gap of the economic income and public service between the destination counties and counties of origin, and the smaller gap between the proportion of the tertiary industry，then the larger the scale of the nearby population flow. Finally, we put forward specific suggestions for different floating population in counties, hoping to provide differentiated reference for the development of county urbanization in Fujian Province and eastern and central China.

• 来自： 张丹丹
• 分类： 地理学 >> 人文地理学
• 稿件状态： 已被期刊评审中
• 引用： PSSXiv:202502.00023 (或此版本 PSSXiv:202502.00023V1)
  DOI:10.13284/j.cnki.rddl.20240213
  CSTR:32012.36.PSSXiv202502.00023
• 推荐引用方式： 张丹丹,林李月,朱宇,柯文前.流动人口就地就近流动的空间特征及影响因素基于福建省第七次人口普查数据的新探索.哲学社会科学预印本平台:https://zsyyb.cn/abs/202502.00023.[PSSXiv:202502.00023V1] (点此复制)