Spatial Co-evolution of Human Capital and Industrial Structure?in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region
摘要: 人力资本为理解人与经济发展之间的相互关系提供了重要视角,人力资本水平与产业结构高级化水平的空间协同演变对优化资源配置、激发地区发展潜力具有重要意义。当前京津冀地区处于产业结构升级与创新驱动发展的关键期,文章在县(区)级尺度对人力资本水平、产业结构高级化水平的空间格局演变及二者的协同关系展开分析,结果表明研究期内京津冀地区:①人力资本水平和产业结构高级化水平不断提升,二者的耦合协调度由初级协调过渡到中级协调,约17%的县(区)级单位已进入高级协调水平,主要分布在北京、天津及河北各市市辖区;②耦合协调水平的空间变化呈“核心—边缘”模式,人力资本与产业结构升级存在正向的空间相互作用,但受行政壁垒影响,空间集聚关系呈现出“南强北弱”的态势;③尽管教育人力资本水平的提升幅度较大,但空间极化现象严重,教育人力资本与产业发展的空间错配是京津冀协同发展的主要矛盾。
Abstract: The concept of human capital provides an important research perspective for understanding the relationship between industry and people. The spatial coordinated evolution between human capital and industrial structure is of great significance in optimizing resource allocation and stimulating regional development potential. The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is in the crucial period of industrial structure upgrading and innovation-driven development. This study demonstrates the spatial pattern evolution of the human capital level and industrial structure upgrading level at the county level, and explores their spatial coupling and synergy. The results show that: 1) The levels of human capital and industrial structure upgrading in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region have been increasing rapidly in 2000-2020, resulting in the average degree of coupling coordination between them in this region transmitted from low-level coordinating stage to medium-level coordinating stage. 17% of counties reached the high-level coordinating stage, mainly distributed in municipal districts around large cities such as Beijing and Tianjin. 2) The spatial pattern of the degree of coupling coordination presents the core-periphery structure, which means that human capital and industrial structure upgrading have a spatially interacted impact. This relationship can be hampered by the administrative boundary and has been enhanced in the north of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region while reduced in the south of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. 3) Although the level of educational human capital has been increasing rapidly, the spatial polarization is still within the region, indicating the spatial mismatch between education and industry is the main challenge to achieving regional synergistic development. The results provide suggestions and references for allocating regional human capital rationally and promoting the high-quality development of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region.
[V1] | 2025-03-13 14:41:59 | PSSXiv:202503.00999V1 | 下载全文 |
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