粤港澳大湾区与“一带一路"沿线国家的经济关联

• 作者： 毛艳华 ^1,2 张超 ¹ 钟世川 ³
• 作者单位：
  1.  中山大学港澳珠江三角洲研究中心

  2.  中山大学区域开放与合作研究院

  3.  广东金融学院经济贸易学院
• 通讯作者： 张超 
• 发布时间：2025-03-13

摘要: 文章基于2002一2019年粤港澳大湾区与“一带一路"沿线国家的进出口数据，利用社会网络分析法分析了其经济关联网络的结构特征和影响因素。结果表明：①整体上粤港澳大湾区与“一带一路”沿线国家组成的网络密度不断增强，等级属性弱化，网络结构日益稳定。②粤港澳大湾区的网络中心性均不断上升，且广东和香港的上升幅度明显高于澳门。③进一步对网络成员中心性的影响因素进行分析发现，经济规模、贸易开放程度、研发投人、人力资本、金融发展水平对中心性具有显著的正向促进作用；而对广东、香港所在的核心层来说，经济规模、贸易开放程度和研发支出是中心性的主要影响因素。因此，为促进粤港澳大湾区与“一带一路”沿线国家的经济联动发展，粤港澳大湾区应进一步扩大对外开放，促进要素自由流动，注重科技研发，加快建设市场化、国际化、法治化的营商环境。

Abstract: Based on the import and export data from the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area and countries along the Belt and Road Initiative from 2002 to 2019, this study utilizes the social network analysis to investigate the structural characteristics and influencing factors of their economic relationship networks. The research findings indicate that overall, the network density between the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area and countries along the Belt and Road Initiative has continuously increased, while hierarchical attributes have weakened, and the network structure has become increasingly stable. 2) The network centrality of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area has consistently risen, with Guangdong and Hong Kong experiencing significantly greater increases than Macao. 3) Further empirical analysis of factors influencing network centrality among network members shows that economic size, trade openness, research and development investment, human capital, and financial development level have significant positive effects on network centrality. However, for the core layers comprising Guangdong and Hong Kong, economic size, trade openness, and research and development investment are the primary influencing factors on network centrality. Therefore, to promote economic linkage development between the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area and countries along the Belt and Road Initiative, the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area should further enhance its openness, facilitate free flow of factors, focus on technological research and development, and accelerate the construction of a market-oriented, internationalized, and rule-of-law business environment.

• 分类： 地理学 >> 人文地理学
• 稿件状态： 已在期刊出版
期刊名称： 《经济地理》 2025年 第1卷 第1期 “区域经济与理论方法”专栏
• 引用： PSSXiv:202503.01001 (或此版本 PSSXiv:202503.01001V1)
  DOI:10.15957/j.cnki.jjdl.2025.01.004
  CSTR:32012.36.PSSXiv.202503.01001
• 推荐引用方式： 毛艳华,张超,钟世川.粤港澳大湾区与“一带一路"沿线国家的经济关联.经济地理,2025(1).[DOI:10.15957/j.cnki.jjdl.2025.01.004] (点此复制)