取信于民：政府信任对新农保参保决策的影响

• 作者： 岳子航 ¹
• 作者单位：
  1.  中国人民大学经济学院博士毕业生
• 通讯作者： 岳子航 
• 发布时间：2024-05-27

摘要: 目前，中国已经进入老龄化社会，并且农村的老龄化程度明显高于城镇。为农村居民提供养老保障的基本养老保险是新型农村社会养老保险（新农保），其在一定程度上实现了老有所养，可是参保率还不够理想。为了尽早实现应保尽保，提高农村居民的晚年生活质量，深入分析新农保的参保决策就显得尤为重要。基于2017年中国社会状况综合调查（CSS2017）数据，使用线性概率模型，并辅以工具变量回归和稳健性检验等方法，分析政府信任对新农保参保决策的影响。研究发现：政府信任促进新农保参保，即农村居民对政府的信任程度越高，其参加新农保的可能性越大，并且这一促进作用是通过传统媒介信息来实现的。研究结论表明，增强政府信任程度是提高新农保参保率的有效手段。

Abstract: Currently, China has entered an aging society, with a higher degree of aging in rural areas compared to urban areas. China’s New Rural Pension Scheme (NRPS) serves as the basic pension scheme for rural residents, partially meeting the needs of the elderly population. However, the participation rate remains suboptimal. In order to expedite full coverage and enhance the quality of life for elderly rural residents, it is crucial to analyze rural residents’ decision regarding participation in NRPS. Based on the data from Chinese Social Survey in 2017 (CSS2017), this study employs a linear probability model supplemented by instrumental variable regression and robustness test to examine how government trust influences the decision related to NRPS participation. The findings indicate that government trust promotes participation in NRPS, meaning that the higher the level of trust rural residents have in government, the more likely they are to participate in NRPS, and this promotion effect is achieved through traditional media information. The conclusion shows that bolstering levels of government trust represents an effective strategy for improving participation rate in NRPS.

• 来自： 岳子航
• 分类： 公共管理学 >> 社会保障
• 稿件状态： 未投稿
• 引用： PSSXiv:202405.00598 (或此版本 PSSXiv:202405.00598V1)
  DOI:10.12451/202405.00598
  CSTR:32012.36.PSSXiv.202405.00598
• 推荐引用方式： 岳子航.取信于民：政府信任对新农保参保决策的影响.哲学社会科学预印本平台:https://zsyyb.cn/abs/202405.00598.[PSSXiv:202405.00598V1] (点此复制)