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地缘政治关系调整对中国向东盟直接投资的影响研究

Research on the Impact of the Adjustment of Geopolitical Relations on China's Direct Investment in ASEAN

摘要: 本文采用跨学科的研究方法,引入新的研究视角考察了政治关系如何影响中国对东盟国家的投资。文章选取2006—2020年中国对东盟七国直接投资数据进行分析研究发现:(1)中国与东盟良好的政治关系可以促进中国向东盟国家投资,但由于受联合国投票潜在形式性及东盟“大国平衡外交”战略等因素影响,模型结果呈现出“中国东盟政治关系对中国向东盟国家直接投资有抑制作用”这一与事实相悖的结果;(2)中国与域外经济体的政治关系对中国向东盟国家直接投资起到负向作用;(3)东盟与域外经济体的政治关系对中国向东盟国家直接投资起到正向作用,以供参考。

Abstract: Using an interdisciplinary research approach, this paper introduces new research perspectives to examine how political relations aff ect Chinese investment in ASEAN countries. Through the analysis of China’s direct investment data in seven ASEAN countries from 2006 to 2020, it is found that: (1) Good political relations between China and ASEAN can promote Chinese investment in ASEAN countries. However, due to factors such as potential formalities in UN voting and the ASEAN "great power balancing diplomacy" strategy, the model results show a paradoxical result that "the political relations between China and ASEAN have a restraining eff ect on Chinese direct investment in ASEAN countries."; (2) China’s political relations with economies outside the region play a negative role in China’s direct investment in ASEAN countries; (3) The political relationship between ASEAN and economies outside the region plays a positive role in China’s direct investment in ASEAN countries.The content of this article is provided for reference.

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[V1] 2024-10-21 16:07:12 PSSXiv:202410.01751V1 下载全文
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